A new Zogby poll shows that more Americans support the right of states to secede than one might think. The type of individual who believes in the right of states and regions to declare their independence also defies some long held perceptions.
Of the all the participants in the poll, 22% agreed to the statement: “I believe any state or region has the right to peaceably secede and become an independent republic”. Some 73% of respondents disagreed and 5% said they weren’t sure. While I believe that a growing number of Americans are coming to the conclusion that the United States is beyond the hope for reform, there was a surprising twist to this poll. A much higher percentage (44%) of participants than that which agreed with the secession statement agreed that: “I believe the United States’ system is broken and cannot be fixed by traditional two-party politics and elections”.
So it seems that nearly half of Americans believe that some kind of drastic change is needed and that barring something like a major triumph on the part of third parties, the change cannot come about through the current political process. They just aren’t ready to accept the idea that it may be time to allow some states to leave the union yet. I will be interested to see how these numbers change in the coming years. While believing in the right to secede is simply an intellectual statement, most of those who supported the right to leave the union also seemed ready to support such an effort where they lived.
Of all those questioned 18% said that they would support a secessionist movement in their own state. What may surprise many people is that Hispanics and African Americans were each more than twice as likely as whites to support the right to secede. This defies the notion that “states’ rights” are somehow linked with racism or Jim Crow laws. Blacks and Hispanics supported secession by a far greater margin than southern respondents as a whole. Of the Hispanics polled 43% agreed with a right to secede and 40% of African Americans agreed with it. These numbers dwarf southern support, which was only slightly higher than the national average at 26% supporting secession.
While conservatives are supposedly the champions of states’ rights, this study showed that self described liberals are actually more likely to support the right of secession. It could be argued that anger with the Bush administration is the reason for liberal support of secession, but I disagree. There is currently a Democratic majority in the congress, and it appears that Barrack Obama stands a good chance of becoming the president in just a few short months. Liberals must be supporting secession for reasons that extend beyond simple partisanship.
It is a the founding principle of the United States that when the people in a state or region are dissatisfied with their government, they have a right to sever their ties with that government and govern themselves. This right of self determination was not unique to the men who founded the United States. Indeed they spoke in language that made it clear that all men in all times had the same rights to life, liberty, and property. Men also have the right and the obligation to abolish a form of government that threatens these rights and form a new government to better serve the people.
I must say that I have been slow to endorse secession as remedy for the problems faced by the United States, but I have become more and more convinced that the federal government, as it currently exists, has grown so far beyond the limits of the constitution and beyond the ordinary means of reform that secession is an appropriate remedy. Some people would call this sentiment seditious, and in fact it is, but that is not the same as being unpatriotic. George Washington was a patriot because he wanted liberty for his countrymen, but he did not attempt to reform the whole British Empire. Rather he supported the right of his countrymen in Virginia to leave the empire and govern themselves.
It would have been impossible to secure a republican form of government for the entire British Empire, and if one takes a step back and takes an objective view of the difficulty in restoring the constitution of the United States, it is very analogous to reforming the whole British Empire. There is no reason that secession should be violent, but a shadow has been cast over the word by the Civil War and the American Revolution. While in the case of independence for the colonies there may have been no way to avert violence, the civil war could very easily have not been fought. There was not a great outcry for war in the North due to the secession of the South. Many more Americans then believed that states had the right to leave the union. It was only when federal forces refused to leave their Army base in Charleston, South Carolina and the Carolinians fired on a US fort that the war began.
If we reach a point where a state declares its independence from Washington, there is no reason that it will lead to war. Americans must affirm their ability to govern themselves and their right to determine how their government should look. I believe that secession movements may ironically be the most likely thing that would lead the federal government to return to a more constitutional system. When it becomes clear that the people in the individual states feel stifled by federal intervention, the federal government may decide to surrender most of its control over the states rather than loose all of it.